These are original Marlbridge practice questions, not past exam questions. The mark points are a suggested Marlbridge rubric to help you check your work; they are not an official scoring guideline. No constants are needed. All organisms, compounds, places and data sets are fictional. A calculator that handles standard form is assumed.
Question 1 (multiple choice · foundation)
Palaeontologists measure the mean length of one molar tooth in fossils of a single lineage of small grazing mammals, from five successive rock layers with no long gaps between them.
| Age of layer / millions of years ago | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean molar length / mm | 3.20 | 3.31 | 3.40 | 3.52 | 3.61 |
Which conclusion is best supported by these data alone?
- (A) The trait changed continuously, by roughly 0.1 mm every half million years, so the lineage kept evolving over this time.
- (B) Individual animals grew longer teeth during their lives by chewing tough food, and passed the longer teeth on to their offspring.
- (C) The lineage stopped evolving after 3.0 million years ago.
- (D) The longer teeth were caused by a change to a diet of tougher grasses.
Answer and explanation
Answer: (A). Mean length rose at every step (by 0.11, 0.09, 0.12 and 0.09 mm), a total of 0.41 mm over 2 million years. Steady, step-by-step change through successive layers is the kind of continuous change in the fossil record that shows a lineage evolving over time.
- (B) describes change within individuals being inherited. Evolution is a change in the population across generations; a trait gained during life is not passed on in DNA.
- (C) is contradicted by the data: the mean kept rising after 3.0 million years ago (3.40 to 3.52 to 3.61 mm).
- (D) may be a reasonable hypothesis, but the table shows only the trend, not its cause. Other evidence from the same layers, such as fossil plants, would be needed to test it.
Question 2 (multiple choice · core)
A patient’s infection contains about 2.0 × 10⁹ bacteria. Resistance to drug D arises by mutation at a rate of 5 × 10⁻⁹ per cell. Before any treatment, about how many resistant cells would you expect?
- (A) 2.5 × 10⁻¹⁸
- (B) None, because resistance mutations only arise after the drug is given
- (C) 10
- (D) 4 × 10¹⁷
Answer and explanation
Answer: (C). Expected mutants = population × rate = 2.0 × 10⁹ × 5 × 10⁻⁹ = 10.
- (A) divides the rate by the population (5 × 10⁻⁹ ÷ 2.0 × 10⁹). The result is far too small to count anything.
- (B) is the misconception that the drug triggers resistance. Mutations arise with or without the drug.
- (D) divides the population by the rate (2.0 × 10⁹ ÷ 5 × 10⁻⁹), giving more resistant cells than there are cells.
Question 3 (multiple choice · core)
A patient’s tumour shrinks during treatment with a chemotherapy drug. Months later the tumour grows back, and the same drug no longer shrinks it. Which explanation is best supported by evolutionary principles?
- (A) A few tumour cells already had changes that let them survive the drug; they survived and divided, so the new tumour is made mostly of their descendants.
- (B) The drug directed the tumour cells to produce the exact mutations they needed to survive.
- (C) The patient’s whole body evolved resistance to the drug.
- (D) The tumour cells learned to avoid the drug, and this learning was passed to new cells.
Answer and explanation
Answer: (A). A tumour is a large, varied population of dividing cells. The drug kills susceptible cells, leaving resistant variants to regrow the tumour. This is natural selection inside one patient.
- (B) Mutations are not directed towards what a cell needs. Variation arises at random; selection then acts on it.
- (C) The patient’s normal body cells are not the population under selection, and a body does not evolve during one lifetime.
- (D) Cells do not learn; resistance depends on inherited changes in the cells’ DNA or gene expression.
Question 4 (data analysis · core)
Each year a farmer sprays a field with the same herbicide, and a researcher tests 500 seedlings grown from seeds of the field’s weed population with the standard dose.
| Years of spraying | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seedlings surviving / % | 2 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 71 |
(a) Calculate how many of the 500 seedlings survived in year 0 and in year 8. (b) Describe the trend, including where the change is fastest. (c) Explain the trend in terms of natural selection. (d) In year 8 the farmer stops spraying. In this population, plants with the resistance allele grow more slowly than other plants when no herbicide is present. Predict how survival in the test would change over the next few years, and explain.
Worked solution and suggested Marlbridge rubric
(a) Year 0: 2% of 500 = 0.02 × 500 = 10 seedlings. Year 8: 71% of 500 = 0.71 × 500 = 355 seedlings.
(b) Survival rises every two years, from 2% to 71%: an increase of 69 percentage points, about 36 times the starting value. The rise is slow at first and fastest between years 6 and 8 (+33 percentage points).
(c) Some weeds were resistant before spraying began (2% survived in year 0). Spraying killed most susceptible plants, so resistant plants produced most of the seeds. Each year the resistance allele became more common in the seed bank, so more seedlings survived the test. The rise speeds up because, as resistant plants become common, more of the next generation comes from them.
(d) Survival in the test would probably fall slowly. Without herbicide, resistant plants are at a disadvantage because they grow more slowly, so susceptible plants leave more seeds and the resistance allele becomes less common. The fall is likely to be gradual, and resistance would rise quickly again if spraying restarted.
| Point | What earns it |
|---|---|
| 1 | 10 and 355 seedlings |
| 1 | Trend described with values and fastest rise identified (years 6–8) |
| 1 | Existing variation, selection by spraying, and inheritance through seeds |
| 1 | Prediction of a gradual fall, linked to the growth cost when herbicide is absent |
Question 5 (constructed response · core)
Hospital records show that over ten years the percentage of infections caused by bacteria resistant to antibiotic X rose from 8% to 31%. Over the same years, the amount of antibiotic X used in the hospital doubled. A report concludes: “Using more antibiotic X caused the rise in resistance.”
(a) Identify one reason why these records alone do not establish cause. (b) Propose a laboratory investigation, using one bacterial species, that would test whether exposure to antibiotic X selects for resistance. Include the independent variable, dependent variable, replication and at least two controlled variables. (c) State the result that would support the report’s conclusion.
Model answer and suggested Marlbridge rubric
(a) Any one: the data show a correlation only; other things changed over ten years (patients arriving already carrying resistant bacteria, hygiene practice, use of other antibiotics, how infections were tested); there was no comparison hospital that did not increase its use of X.
(b) One good design:
- Start from a single susceptible ancestor, so all populations begin genetically identical. Freeze a sample of the ancestor.
- Grow, for example, six replicate populations in medium with a low dose of antibiotic X and six in identical medium without it. Transfer a small sample to fresh medium every day for several weeks.
- Independent variable: presence or absence of antibiotic X. Dependent variable: the proportion of cells able to grow at a standard test dose of X (or the lowest dose that stops growth), measured at regular intervals.
- Controlled variables (any two): temperature, medium and volume, size of the daily transfer, number of transfers, starting population size.
- Freeze samples at intervals so later populations can be compared directly with the ancestor.
(c) Resistance rises in the populations exposed to X, consistently across the replicates, but not, or much less, in the unexposed populations.
| Point | What earns it |
|---|---|
| 1 | A valid limitation of the records (correlation, confounding factor or no comparison) |
| 1 | Independent and dependent variables appropriate and measurable |
| 1 | Replicate populations from one ancestor, plus a no-antibiotic control |
| 1 | Two controlled variables and the result that would support the conclusion |
Question 6 (constructed response · core)
A fictional virus normally infects fruit bats. Some years after it was first found in bats, it is found in farm pigs, and later it begins to spread from person to person in a nearby town.
(a) Explain, in terms of variation and selection, how the virus could come to spread among humans. (b) The virus binds to host cells using a surface protein. Explain why a vaccine made against this year’s form might protect less well in a few years. (c) Predict how the speed of the virus’s evolution would differ in a dense town of 200 000 people compared with a village of 500. Justify your prediction.
Model answer and suggested Marlbridge rubric
(a) Virus copying produces many random mutations. In pigs, a few variants by chance had surface-protein changes that let them bind and enter pig (and then human) cells better. These variants infected more hosts and produced more copies, so they became common. Once a variant could also pass efficiently from person to person, selection in humans favoured further changes that improved spread.
(b) Mutations keep changing the surface protein. Antibodies made after vaccination fit this year’s protein shape. Variants with altered shapes bind those antibodies less well, so they infect vaccinated people more often and are favoured. Over time, these variants become common and the vaccine matches less well.
(c) Faster in the large town. More infected people means a larger virus population, so more new mutations arise each generation, and more chances of transmission make selection more effective. In a small village, the outbreak may die out quickly, and chance (drift) has a larger effect.
| Point | What earns it |
|---|---|
| 1 | Random mutations produce variants before the host jump |
| 1 | Variants that infect the new host reproduce more, so become common |
| 1 | Surface-protein change reduces antibody binding, so escape variants are favoured |
| 1 | Larger host population leads to more mutations and faster evolution, justified |
Question 7 (data analysis · stretch)
A laboratory keeps a bacterial population growing in the same medium for 40 000 generations. Frozen samples from different generations are later each grown in competition with the frozen ancestor, giving a relative fitness (ancestor = 1.00).
| Generation | 0 | 2000 | 5000 | 10 000 | 20 000 | 40 000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relative fitness | 1.00 | 1.18 | 1.31 | 1.42 | 1.53 | 1.64 |
The genome has 4.6 × 10⁶ base pairs, the mutation rate is 1 × 10⁻¹⁰ per base pair per generation, and the population holds about 5 × 10⁸ cells.
(a) Calculate the rise in fitness per 1000 generations between generations 0 and 2000, and between 20 000 and 40 000. (b) A student says: “The population had finished evolving by generation 10 000.” Evaluate this claim using the data. (c) Calculate the number of new mutations arising in the whole population each generation, and the expected number of mutations along a single line of descent over 40 000 generations. (d) Suggest an explanation for the slowing rate of fitness gain.
Worked solution and suggested Marlbridge rubric
(a) 0 to 2000: (1.18 − 1.00) ÷ 2000 × 1000 = 0.09 per 1000 generations. 20 000 to 40 000: (1.64 − 1.53) ÷ 20 000 × 1000 = 0.0055 per 1000 generations.
(b) The claim is not supported. Fitness kept rising after generation 10 000, from 1.42 to 1.53 and then to 1.64. The rate of gain slowed, about sixteen times slower at the end than at the start (0.09 ÷ 0.0055 ≈ 16), but it did not stop.
(c) Per genome per generation: 4.6 × 10⁶ × 1 × 10⁻¹⁰ = 4.6 × 10⁻⁴. Whole population: 4.6 × 10⁻⁴ × 5 × 10⁸ = 2.3 × 10⁵ new mutations per generation. Single line of descent over 40 000 generations: 4.6 × 10⁻⁴ × 40 000 = 18.4, about 18 mutations.
(d) Early on, mutations with large benefits were available and spread quickly. Once those had been fixed, the remaining beneficial mutations had smaller effects, so each gain was smaller. New mutations keep arising (part c), so further gains remain possible.
| Point | What earns it |
|---|---|
| 1 | Both rates correct, with the comparison |
| 1 | Claim rejected using values after generation 10 000, noting slowing but not stopping |
| 1 | 2.3 × 10⁵ per generation and about 18 along one lineage |
| 1 | Diminishing returns explained: large-benefit mutations fixed first |
How did you do?
- Q1 wrong: re-read “Evidence 2: continuous change in the fossil record” and Figure 1 in the study guide.
- Q3 wrong: re-read “Evidence 3: resistance to the chemicals we use” and Figure 2.
- Q2 or Q7(c) wrong: rework “Evidence 1: genomes change over time” and Worked example 1; check you multiplied population by rate.
- Q4 wrong: re-read Worked example 1 on how frequencies change under selection.
- Q5 wrong: rework Worked example 2, especially the proposed investigation.
- Q6 wrong: re-read “Evidence 4: pathogens and emergent diseases”.
Then tick off the topic checklist.