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AP® Macroeconomics · Unit 2 · Topic 2.4

Price Indices and Inflation: Revision Notes (Macroeconomics 2.4)

One-page recap of the CPI, market baskets, base years, inflation, deflation and disinflation, real values and CPI bias, with the calculation mistakes that cost marks.

Short on time? This page is the recap. For explanations and worked examples, use the full study guide.

Recap

  • The CPI compares the cost of a fixed market basket of consumer goods and services in a given year with its cost in the base year.
  • It shows how much more income a household needs to keep the same standard of living.
  • Inflation: the price level rises. Deflation: it falls. Disinflation: inflation is still positive but lower than before.
  • Real variables are nominal variables adjusted (deflated) by a price index.
  • The CPI tends to overstate inflation: substitution bias, quality changes, new goods.

Key relationships

Relationship Formula Use it to
CPI (cost of basket in year t ÷ cost in base year) × 100 build the index
Inflation rate (new index − old index) ÷ old index × 100 find the percentage change in prices
Real value nominal value ÷ index × 100 express money in base-year purchasing power
Value in another year’s money value × (index in target year ÷ index in original year) compare money across years
Real % change (approx.) nominal % change − inflation rate quick check on real changes

Assumptions behind the numbers

  • The basket represents what a typical consumer buys; any one household may differ.
  • Quantities in the basket stay fixed between years.
  • The same goods are priced each year, with unchanged quality.
  • Out of scope: the producer price index (PPI). Calculating the GDP deflator is in Topic 2.6.

Mistakes to avoid

  1. Index points ≠ percentages unless the earlier index is 100.
  2. Wrong denominator: divide by the earlier index.
  3. Inverting the ratio: given-year cost goes on top.
  4. Calling disinflation “deflation”.
  5. Changing basket quantities between years.
  6. Saying substitution makes the CPI understate inflation. It overstates it.

Quick self-check

VD is the valda, the currency of the fictional country Valdoria used in the study guide.

  1. A basket costs VD 80 in the base year and VD 92 now. What is the CPI? (115)
  2. The CPI rises from 150 to 156. What is the inflation rate? (4%)
  3. A nominal wage of VD 840 when the CPI is 120 is worth how much in base-year valdas? (VD 700)

Next: practice questions.

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