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AP® Microeconomics · Unit 4 · Topic 4.5

Oligopoly and Game Theory: Revision Notes (Microeconomics 4.5)

One-page recap of oligopoly and game theory: interdependence, cartels, payoff matrices, dominant strategies, Nash equilibrium, the prisoner's dilemma and the incentive needed to change a choice.

Short on time? This page is the recap. For explanations, diagrams and worked examples, use the full study guide.

Recap

  • An oligopoly has a few large firms, high barriers to entry and interdependence: each firm’s best choice depends on its rivals’ choices. A two-firm oligopoly is a duopoly.
  • Products can be identical (cement) or differentiated (cars).
  • Oligopoly is inefficient: price is usually above marginal cost, so there is a deadweight loss.
  • Firms have an incentive to collude and form a cartel that acts like one monopoly. But each member gains by cheating, cheating is hard to detect, and collusion is illegal in many places, so cartels tend to break down.
  • Result: oligopoly prices are usually higher and quantities lower than in perfect competition, but rarely as extreme as monopoly.

Key relationships

Term Meaning How to spot it in a matrix
Payoff matrix (normal form) Rows = one player’s actions, columns = the other’s; each cell shows both payoffs First number = row player, second = column player
Dominant strategy One action is better whatever the other player does The same action wins in both columns (row player) or both rows (column player)
Nash equilibrium No player can raise its payoff by changing its own action alone Both payoffs in the cell are best responses
Prisoner’s dilemma Dominant strategies lead to an outcome worse for both than cooperation Equilibrium cell is beaten by another cell for both players
Incentive to change a dominant strategy A payment to one action, or a penalty on the other, that reverses every comparison Must exceed the largest gap across the other player’s actions

Assumptions and scope

  • Two players, two actions each, one play, simultaneous choices.
  • Games with more players or actions, game trees and mixed strategies are outside the course.

Mistakes to avoid

  1. Picking the cell with the highest total as the Nash equilibrium.
  2. Comparing one player’s payoff with the other player’s payoff.
  3. Comparing across the diagonal instead of within one column or row.
  4. Saying there is no equilibrium because one player lacks a dominant strategy.
  5. Closing only the smaller payoff gap when finding the incentive needed.
  6. Saying oligopolies always reach the monopoly price.

Quick self-check

Payoffs (Row, Column): (Up, Up) = (5, 5); (Up, Down) = (1, 7); (Down, Up) = (7, 1); (Down, Down) = (3, 3).

  1. What is Row’s dominant strategy? (Down: 7 > 5 and 3 > 1.)
  2. What is the Nash equilibrium? (Down, Down) with (3, 3); Column’s dominant strategy is also Down.
  3. Is this a prisoner’s dilemma? (Yes: both would prefer (Up, Up) with 5 each.)
  4. How much would a reward for choosing Up need to exceed to make Up dominant for Row? (2, the larger of the gaps 7 − 5 = 2 and 3 − 1 = 2; here they are equal.)

Next: practice questions.

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