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AP® Statistics · Unit 1 · Topic 1.11

Random Sampling: Revision Notes (Statistics 1.11)

One-page recap of sampling with and without replacement, simple random, stratified, cluster and systematic samples, when to use each, and the mistakes that cost marks.

Short on time? This page is the recap. For explanations and worked examples, use the full study guide.

Recap

  • A random sample uses a chance process (random number generator, well-mixed numbered slips) to choose every individual.
  • Without replacement: a chosen individual is not returned, so it can be chosen only once. With replacement: it is returned and could be chosen again.
  • Surveys of people normally sample without replacement: ignore repeated labels.
  • In an SRS of size n, every possible sample of size n is equally likely.

Key relationships

Method How it works Good when…
Simple random sample label 1 to N; choose n different labels by chance a full list exists and no groups matter
Stratified split into strata of similar individuals; SRS within every stratum; combine groups differ on the variable, or results are needed for each group
Cluster split into clusters that each mirror the population; SRS of clusters; measure everyone in them the population is spread out and visits are costly
Systematic k ≈ N ÷ n; random start from 1 to k; then every k-th individual individuals come in a line or a long list with no repeating pattern

Assumptions and conventions

  • With a line of random digits, labels all have the same number of digits (001 to 250, not 1 to 250).
  • Skip numbers that are not labels, and skip repeats unless sampling with replacement.
  • Stratified and systematic samples are random samples, but they are not SRSs: some samples of size n cannot happen.
  • Proportional allocation in strata is common, not required.

Mistakes to avoid

  1. Calling a haphazard or convenience choice “random”.
  2. Saying “each individual has the same chance” as the definition of an SRS. It is every sample of size n.
  3. Swapping strata and clusters.
  4. Sampling a few people from every cluster. In a cluster sample you take everyone in the chosen clusters.
  5. Forgetting the random start in a systematic sample.
  6. Stratifying by a characteristic that has nothing to do with the variable measured.
  7. A justification with no context: name the population, the groups and the variable.

Quick self-check

  1. A list has 500 names and you want a systematic sample of 25. What is k, and which names are chosen if the random start is 13? (k = 500 ÷ 25 = 20; names 13, 33, 53, … , 493)
  2. A school has 300 boarders and 200 day students. Take a stratified sample of 50 in proportion to size. How many from each group? (30 boarders and 20 day students)
  3. A pollster picks 4 blocks of flats at random and interviews every resident. Name the method. (Cluster random sample, with blocks of flats as clusters)

Next: practice questions.

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