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AP® Statistics · Unit 3 · Topic 3.12

Setting Up a Test for the Difference Between Two Population Proportions: Revision Notes (Statistics 3.12)

One-page recap of choosing the two-sample z-test for p₁ − p₂, defining parameters, writing hypotheses and checking conditions with the pooled proportion, plus the mistakes that cost marks.

Short on time? This page is the recap. For explanations and worked examples, use the full study guide.

Recap

  • Procedure: two-sample z-test for the difference between two population proportions. Use it when a question asks for evidence of a difference between two groups’ proportions.
  • Parameters: define both p₁ and p₂ as true proportions, with the response and the population (or treatment) for each.
  • Hypotheses: H₀ says no difference; Hₐ says what you want evidence of.
  • Conditions: randomization, 10% (sampling only), normality with p̂c.

Key relationships

Item Form
Null hypothesis H₀: p₁ = p₂, or H₀: p₁ − p₂ = 0
“Greater / higher / more” Hₐ: p₁ > p₂, or p₁ − p₂ > 0
“Less / lower / reduced” Hₐ: p₁ < p₂, or p₁ − p₂ < 0
“Different / affects / changes” Hₐ: p₁ ≠ p₂, or p₁ − p₂ ≠ 0
Pooled proportion p̂c = (x₁ + x₂)/(n₁ + n₂) = (n₁p̂₁ + n₂p̂₂)/(n₁ + n₂)
Normality condition n₁p̂c, n₁(1 − p̂c), n₂p̂c, n₂(1 − p̂c) all ≥ 10
10% condition n₁ ≤ 0.10N₁ and n₂ ≤ 0.10N₂ (not needed for an experiment)

Assumptions and conventions

  • “Independent” samples: separate random samples with no individual in both and no pairing.
  • In an experiment, the “populations” are the treatments: “subjects like these who would receive treatment 1”.
  • Choose α and the direction of Hₐ before looking at the data.
  • Interval (Topic 3.10) uses observed counts and no pooling; test uses p̂c.

Mistakes to avoid

  1. Hypotheses with p̂ instead of p.
  2. Direction of Hₐ taken from the sample results.
  3. Parameters defined with the samples (“of the 200 sampled”).
  4. Averaging p̂₁ and p̂₂ instead of pooling the counts.
  5. Normality checked with observed counts, or with n ≥ 30.
  6. 10% condition applied to an experiment, or missed for a survey.
  7. Paired or before-and-after data treated as independent samples.
  8. “Conditions are met” with no numbers.

Quick self-check

  1. A question asks: “Does the new timetable change the proportion of trains that run late?” Which Hₐ? (Hₐ: p_new ≠ p_old: “change” has no direction.)
  2. Samples: 30 of 100 and 60 of 150. Find p̂c and check normality. (p̂c = 90/250 = 0.36; counts 36, 64, 54, 96, all at least 10.)
  3. Is the 10% condition needed when 200 volunteers are randomly assigned to two diets? (No: it is a randomized experiment.)

Next: practice questions.

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