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AP® Statistics · Unit 4 · Topic 4.4

Setting Up a Test for a Population Mean or Population Mean Difference: Revision Notes (Statistics 4.4)

One-page recap of setting up a one-sample t-test for a mean or a matched-pairs mean difference: procedure, parameter, hypotheses, conditions and the mistakes that cost marks.

Short on time? This page is the recap. For explanations and worked examples, use the full study guide.

Recap

  • A test asks whether sample data give convincing evidence against a claimed value of a parameter.
  • For a quantitative variable, σ is unknown, so use s and a t-distribution with df = n − 1.
  • Matched pairs: two values on the same individual (before/after, both treatments) or natural pairs. Analyse one sample of differences.
  • This topic is State and Plan. Topic 4.5 does Do and Conclude.

Key relationships

Situation Procedure Parameter H₀ Hₐ options
One sample, claimed mean μ₀ One-sample t-test for a population mean μ = true mean [variable, units] of all [population] μ = μ₀ μ < μ₀, μ > μ₀, μ ≠ μ₀
Paired data One-sample t-test for a population mean difference μd = true mean of (A − B) for [population] μd = 0 μd < 0, μd > 0, μd ≠ 0
Two separate groups Two-sample t-test (Topic 4.9) — — —

Conditions

Condition Check
Random Random sample, or random assignment (random order of treatments for pairs)
10% n ≤ 10% of N when sampling without replacement; not needed for an experiment with no sampling
Sample data Population approximately normal, or n ≥ 30, or (n < 30) no strong skew and no outliers in the sample. For pairs: apply to the differences

Mistakes to avoid

  1. Hypotheses with x̄ instead of μ.
  2. Two-sample analysis of paired data. Take the differences.
  3. No order of subtraction for μd, or an Hₐ that does not match it.
  4. “np₀ ≥ 10” for a mean. That is a proportion check.
  5. “n < 30, so we cannot test.” Check the data first.
  6. Direction chosen from the sample. Use the question’s wording.

Quick self-check

  1. A fictional brand says its dishwashers use “at most 9.0 litres of water per cycle” on average, and a tester suspects more. Write the hypotheses. (H₀: μ = 9.0, Hₐ: μ > 9.0, where μ is the true mean water use, in litres per cycle, of all the brand’s dishwashers.)
  2. Each of 25 workers is timed doing a task with an old tool and a new tool. Which procedure? (One-sample t-test for a population mean difference, on the 25 differences.)
  3. A random sample of 18 values has an outlier, and nothing says the population is normal. Is the sample data condition met? (No: with n < 30 the data must be free from outliers.)

Next: practice questions.

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