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AP® Statistics · Unit 4 · Topic 4.6

Sampling Distributions for the Difference Between Two Sample Means: Revision Notes (Statistics 4.6)

One-page recap of the sampling distribution of x̄₁ − x̄₂: mean, standard deviation, conditions, when a normal model applies, and the mistakes that cost marks.

Short on time? This page is the recap. For explanations and worked examples, use the full study guide.

Recap

  • x̄₁ − x̄₂ is a statistic. It changes from one pair of samples to the next.
  • Its sampling distribution describes all the values it could take over many pairs of independent samples.
  • It is centred at the true difference μ₁ − μ₂, so it is an unbiased estimator.
  • Its spread comes from both samples, so the variances add.
  • Larger samples give less spread: multiplying both sample sizes by k divides the standard deviation by √k.

Key relationships

Item Formula or rule
Mean μ(x̄₁ − x̄₂) = μ₁ − μ₂
Standard deviation σ(x̄₁ − x̄₂) = √(σ₁²/n₁ + σ₂²/n₂)
Randomization two independent random samples, or random assignment in an experiment
10% n₁ ≤ 10% of N₁ and n₂ ≤ 10% of N₂ (sampling without replacement only)
Normal both populations normal (any n₁, n₂)
Approximately normal populations not normal, but n₁ ≥ 30 and n₂ ≥ 30
z-score z = [(x̄₁ − x̄₂) − (μ₁ − μ₂)] / σ(x̄₁ − x̄₂)

Assumptions and conventions

  • The two samples are independent: different individuals, not linked or paired.
  • The population means and standard deviations are given in this topic. When they are unknown (Topic 4.7 onwards), you estimate with s₁ and s₂.
  • For an experiment, random assignment meets the randomization condition and the 10% condition is not needed. The shape condition is still needed for a normal model.
  • Interpretations name the variable, units, both populations and the order of subtraction.

Mistakes to avoid

  1. Adding the standard deviations instead of the variances.
  2. Subtracting the variances because the means are subtracted.
  3. “n₁ + n₂ ≥ 30” instead of both n₁ ≥ 30 and n₂ ≥ 30.
  4. Demanding n ≥ 30 when both populations are already normal.
  5. Using the formula for paired data (the same individuals measured twice).
  6. Forgetting the order of subtraction when turning words into an inequality.
  7. “A small probability proves the claim is false.” It only gives reason to doubt it.

Quick self-check

  1. σ₁ = 10, n₁ = 25, σ₂ = 6, n₂ = 16. Find σ(x̄₁ − x̄₂). (√(4 + 2.25) = √6.25 = 2.5)
  2. μ₁ = 40 and μ₂ = 46. What is the mean of x̄₁ − x̄₂? (−6)
  3. Both populations are strongly skewed; n₁ = 20 and n₂ = 50. Can you use a normal model? (No: n₁ < 30)

Next: practice questions.

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