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AP® Statistics · Unit 4 · Topic 4.7

Constructing a Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Means: Revision Notes (Statistics 4.7)

One-page recap of the two-sample t-interval: choosing it over a paired interval, defining μ₁ − μ₂, the three conditions, standard error, degrees of freedom and margin of error.

Short on time? This page is the recap. For explanations and worked examples, use the full study guide.

Recap

  • Use a two-sample t-interval for μ₁ − μ₂ when a quantitative response is measured in two independent groups.
  • If the values come in linked pairs (same subject twice, matched pairs), the data are paired: use a one-sample t-interval on the differences instead.
  • The parameter names the order of subtraction, the response variable (with units) and both populations or treatments.
  • The interval is point estimate ± t × SE*, with t from a t-distribution because σ₁ and σ₂ are unknown.

Key relationships

Quantity Formula or rule
Point estimate x̄₁ − x̄₂
Standard error SE = √(s₁²/n₁ + s₂²/n₂)
Degrees of freedom from technology; always between the smaller of n₁ − 1 and n₂ − 1, and n₁ + n₂ − 2
Conservative df smaller of n₁ − 1 and n₂ − 1 (slightly wider interval)
Margin of error t* × SE
Interval (x̄₁ − x̄₂) ± t* √(s₁²/n₁ + s₂²/n₂)
Reverse the order of subtraction both limits change sign and swap places

Conditions

  1. Randomization: two independent random samples, or a randomized experiment.
  2. 10%: n₁ ≤ 10% N₁ and n₂ ≤ 10% N₂, when sampling without replacement. Not needed for a randomized experiment.
  3. Sample data: both n ≥ 30, or both populations approximately normal. If either n < 30, both samples must be free from strong skewness and outliers (look at a dot plot or use the 1.5 × IQR rule).

Mistakes to avoid

  1. Adding standard deviations (s₁/√n₁ + s₂/√n₂) instead of variance terms.
  2. Using z* instead of t*.
  3. Using df = n₁ + n₂ − 2 as if it were exact. It is only the upper bound.
  4. Choosing “pooled” on the calculator.
  5. Treating paired data as independent.
  6. Checking a condition for one group only.
  7. A parameter with no order of subtraction, or one that describes the samples instead of the populations.

Quick self-check

  1. n₁ = 20, s₁ = 3; n₂ = 20, s₂ = 4. Find the SE. (√(9/20 + 16/20) = √1.25 ≈ 1.118)
  2. A 95% interval for μ₁ − μ₂ is (2.4, 9.0). Find the point estimate and margin of error. (Point estimate 5.7, margin of error 3.3)
  3. n₁ = 12 and n₂ = 18. Between which values must the technology df lie? (11 and 28)
  4. Ten patients have blood pressure measured before and after a drug. Two-sample t-interval? (No: the data are paired. Use a one-sample t-interval on the 10 differences.)

Next: practice questions.

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