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AP® Statistics · Unit 5 · Topic 5.3

Linear Regression Models: Topic Checklist (Statistics 5.3)

Specific “I can…” statements for linear regression models and predictions, each linked to the guide section and practice question that shows whether you can do it.

Work through the list without notes. If you cannot do a statement, follow its link, then come back. Guide = study guide; Practice = practice questions.

Understanding

  • I can explain when a straight-line model is sensible, by checking that the scatterplot has a linear form. (Guide: “From a scatterplot to a model”; Practice Q7)
  • I can explain the difference between y (an observed value) and ŷ (a predicted value). (Guide: “The equation ŷ = a + bx”; Practice Q3, Q7)
  • I can name the y-intercept a and the slope b in a model such as ŷ = −30.26 + 5.37x. (Guide: “Reading the slope and intercept”; Practice Q1)
  • I can define interpolation and extrapolation, and say that the end points of the data interval count as interpolation. (Guide: “Interpolation and extrapolation”; Practice Q2, Q4)

Skills

  • I can identify the explanatory and response variables in a context. (Practice Q5)
  • I can rewrite a model using the names of the variables. (Practice Q5)
  • I can calculate a predicted value by substituting x, without rounding the coefficients early. (Guide: Worked example 1; Practice Q1, Q4)
  • I can use a model where x is coded, for example “years since 2000”, by substituting the coded value. (Practice Q6)
  • I can decide whether a prediction is an interpolation or an extrapolation by comparing x with the smallest and largest x-values. (Guide: Worked example 1; Practice Q2, Q4, Q6)

Reasoning

  • I can report a prediction in context, saying “the model predicts”, naming the variable and giving units. (Guide: Worked example 1; Practice Q5)
  • I can explain why a prediction becomes less reliable the further it is extrapolated, using the context. (Guide: Worked example 2; Practice Q3, Q6)
  • I can recognise an impossible prediction (for example, a negative height or time) as a sign of extrapolation or of a poor model. (Guide: Worked example 2; Practice Q6, Q7)

All ticked? Move on to Topic 5.4: Residuals, or return to the course roadmap.

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