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Flashcards · IB Diploma Programme Economics · Topic 3

Macroeconomics flashcards

51 cards on Topic 3, subtopics 3.1 to 3.7. Pick a subtopic or study them all.

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3.1 Measuring economic activity and illustrating its variations

GDP versus GNI
GDP: the total value of output (income) produced within a country in a period. GNI = GDP + net income from abroad (income residents earn abroad minus income paid to non-residents). The net term can be negative, so GNI can be below GDP: GDP 100 with net income −15 gives GNI 85.
The phases of the business cycle
Expansion → peak → contraction (recession) → trough, around a long-term upward growth trend in real GDP.
Recession versus slower growth
Recession: a fall in the level of real output. Slower growth: a fall in the rate of growth, with output still rising. Growth falling from 4% to 1% is not a recession.
Nominal versus real GDP, and the GDP deflator
Nominal GDP is valued at current prices; real GDP removes the effect of price changes. Real GDP = nominal GDP ÷ price deflator × 100. Nominal GDP 1,200 with a deflator of 120 gives real GDP 1,000 in base-year prices.
Why use real GDP per capita at PPP to compare living standards between countries?
Per capita divides by population, so countries of different size can be compared. PPP converts at a rate that makes the same basket cost the same in each country, so it reflects what incomes can actually buy.
Limitations of GDP as a measure of well-being
It is an average that hides distribution; it misses unpaid and informal work; it ignores leisure, the quality of goods, and environmental damage and resource depletion. Composite measures such as the HDI try to capture more.
Nominal GDP by the expenditure method: C 620, I 180, G 240, X 210, M 250
GDP = C + I + G + (X − M) = 620 + 180 + 240 + (210 − 250) = 1,000. The output, income and expenditure methods measure the same flow, so in principle they give the same total.

3.2 Variations in economic activity – aggregate demand and aggregate supply

Aggregate demand and its components
Total planned spending on a country's output at each price level. AD = C + I + G + (X − M): consumption, investment, government spending, net exports. A change in any component shifts AD.
What shifts aggregate supply?
Production costs, productivity and productive capacity (the short run and long run differ). A change in costs shifts SRAS; a change in capacity shifts LRAS.
Diagram in words: AD shifts right with SRAS fixed
Axes: price level (vertical) and real GDP (horizontal). The new AD meets SRAS further up and to the right: real GDP and the price level both rise. A leftward AD shift lowers both.
Diagram in words: SRAS shifts left (higher costs) with AD fixed
The new equilibrium has a higher price level and lower real GDP: cost-push inflation with falling output. A rightward SRAS shift lowers the price level and raises output.
Keynesian versus monetarist/new classical aggregate supply
Keynesian AS is flat at low output (spare capacity), then curves up and becomes vertical at full employment; an equilibrium below full employment can persist, so policy action is justified. Monetarist/new classical: LRAS is vertical at potential output and the economy returns there automatically.
Recessionary (deflationary) gap versus inflationary gap
Recessionary gap: actual real GDP is below potential output. Inflationary gap: actual real GDP is above potential output.

3.3 Macroeconomic objectives (includes HL-only calculation)

Main macroeconomic objectives
Economic growth, low unemployment, and low and stable inflation. They can conflict: policy that boosts growth can worsen inflation.
Unemployment rate: formula and example with 140,000 unemployed and a labour force of 3,500,000
Unemployment rate = number unemployed ÷ labour force × 100. 140,000 ÷ 3,500,000 × 100 = 4.0%. The labour force is the employed plus the unemployed.
Types of unemployment and the natural rate
Structural (mismatch of skills or location), frictional (between jobs), seasonal, and cyclical or demand-deficient (weak AD). The natural rate of unemployment is the rate when the economy is at potential output: structural + frictional + seasonal, with no cyclical unemployment.
Demand-pull versus cost-push inflation
Demand-pull: AD shifts right faster than capacity grows, so the price level rises with output. Cost-push: higher costs (wages, imported raw materials) shift SRAS left, so the price level rises while output falls.
Inflation, disinflation and deflation
Inflation: a sustained rise in the general price level. Disinflation: the inflation rate falls but prices still rise. Steady 2% inflation still means a rising price level. Deflation: a sustained fall in the general price level.
Inflation from a price index that rises from 125.0 to 128.5
Inflation rate = (new index − old index) ÷ old index × 100 = 3.5 ÷ 125.0 × 100 = 2.8%.
Weighted price index: weights 60 and 40 with category indices 110 and 95
Multiply each index by its weight, add, and divide by the total weight: (60 × 110 + 40 × 95) ÷ 100 = 104.0. Categories with a bigger share of spending move the index more. (HL only)
Why might the official unemployment rate understate unemployment?
Hidden unemployment: discouraged workers who have stopped looking are not counted. Underemployment: part-time workers who want full-time work count as employed. The national average also hides differences by region, age, gender and education.
Deflation from falling AD versus deflation from rising AS
Falling AD: the price level and real GDP both fall, unemployment rises, and consumers may delay spending, so it is harmful. Rising AS (for example new technology): prices fall while real GDP rises, so it is far less harmful.

3.4 Economics of inequality and poverty (includes HL-only calculation)

Equality versus equity in the distribution of income
Equality: similar economic outcomes for different people or groups. Equity: fairness, a normative idea, so views differ.
Absolute versus relative poverty
Absolute: income or consumption below a fixed standard for basic needs. Relative: far less than others in the same society, often below a share of median income. Poverty can fall while inequality rises.
Lorenz curve and Gini coefficient
Lorenz curve: cumulative % of income (vertical) against cumulative % of households, poorest first (horizontal). The 45° line is perfect equality. Gini = area between the line and the curve ÷ area under the line, from 0 (equality) to 1. A curve moving towards the line means falling inequality.
Measures of poverty, and the difficulties in measuring it
Single indicators: international poverty lines, minimum income standards. Composite: the Multidimensional Poverty Index (health, education, living standards). Difficulties: arbitrary thresholds, regional price and household-size differences, informal work, sharing within households, infrequent surveys.
Causes of inequality and poverty listed in the IB guide
Inequality of opportunity; different levels of resource ownership; different levels of human capital; discrimination; unequal status and power; government tax and benefit policies; globalisation and technological change; market-based supply-side policies.
Average versus marginal tax rate, and progressive taxation
Average rate = total tax ÷ income × 100. Marginal rate = change in tax ÷ change in income × 100. A progressive tax has an average rate that rises with income; under it the marginal rate is above the average rate. Regressive: the average rate falls as income rises.
Tax calculation: first 8,000 tax-free, 8,000 to 24,000 at 25%, above 24,000 at 35%. Income 40,000.
16,000 × 0.25 = 4,000 plus 16,000 × 0.35 = 5,600. Total tax 9,600, an average rate of 24.0%. (HL only)
Policies to reduce inequality and poverty
Progressive taxation, transfer payments, targeted spending, investment in human capital, minimum wages, anti-discrimination policies and universal basic income. Trade-offs: cost, possible work disincentives, slow effects of human capital spending.

3.5 Demand management (demand-side policies) – monetary policy (includes HL-only sub-topics)

Monetary policy and inflation targeting
Monetary policy: the central bank's control of the money supply and interest rates to influence aggregate demand. Inflation targeting: a published numerical inflation goal, with interest rates adjusted to meet it.
Real interest rate: a saver earns 2.0% when inflation is 3.5%
Real rate = nominal rate − inflation rate = 2.0 − 3.5 = −1.5%. The saver's purchasing power falls.
What happens to the economy when the central bank cuts interest rates?
Borrowing becomes cheaper and saving less rewarding, so consumption and investment rise. The exchange rate may fall, raising net exports. AD shifts right: real GDP rises, unemployment falls, the price level rises.
Strengths and limits of monetary policy
Strengths: incremental, flexible and easily reversed; shorter time lags; a credible target anchors expectations. Limits: little room when rates are near zero; low confidence blunts it; weak against cost-push inflation and structural unemployment; it does not raise productive capacity.
Tools of monetary policy: open market operations, minimum reserve requirement, minimum lending rate, QE
Expansionary: buy bonds; lower the reserve requirement; cut the lending rate; quantitative easing (create reserves to buy assets in bulk). Contractionary: sell bonds; raise the reserve requirement; raise the lending rate. (HL only)
Money creation: a deposit of 800 with a reserve ratio of 12.5%
Money multiplier = 1 ÷ reserve ratio = 1 ÷ 0.125 = 8. Maximum deposits = 800 × 8 = 6,400; new money created = 6,400 − 800 = 5,600. (HL only)
Diagram in words: the money market
Axes: nominal interest rate (vertical) and quantity of money (horizontal). Demand for money slopes down; money supply is vertical (set by the central bank). An increase in money supply moves the vertical line right and lowers the interest rate. (HL only)

3.6 Demand management – fiscal policy (includes HL-only sub-topics)

Fiscal policy, and the sources of government revenue
Fiscal policy: changing government spending and taxation to influence aggregate demand and the economy. Revenue: direct taxes, indirect taxes, sales of goods and services by state-owned enterprises, and (usually one-off) sales of government assets.
Current expenditure, capital expenditure and transfer payments
Current: day-to-day running costs of government. Capital: spending on lasting assets such as roads and schools. Transfer payments: money passed to recipients with no output produced in return (pensions, benefits).
Budget balance: revenue 320 and expenditure 345, of which 20 of revenue came from selling a state asset
Balance = revenue − expenditure = 320 − 345 = −25, a deficit. Without the one-off asset sale: 300 − 345 = −45. One-off receipts flatter the balance.
Expansionary fiscal policy in a recessionary gap, in Keynesian and monetarist views
Higher spending and/or lower taxes shift AD right. Keynesian: with spare capacity, real GDP rises towards potential with little rise in prices. Monetarist/new classical: the economy returns to potential anyway, so in the long run fiscal policy mainly changes the price level.
Constraints on fiscal policy
Political pressure (tax rises and cuts are unpopular), time lags (recognition, decision, implementation), and the need for a sustainable level of debt: deficits raise debt and interest costs. Strengths: it can be targeted at sectors or regions, and works in a deep recession.
Multiplier: MPS 0.10, MPT 0.10, MPM 0.30; government spending rises by 30
Multiplier = 1 ÷ (MPS + MPT + MPM) = 1 ÷ 0.50 = 2. Change in GDP = 2 × 30 = 60. Simple form if saving is the only leakage: 1 ÷ (1 − MPC). (HL only)
Crowding out
Government borrowing raises interest rates and cuts private investment, so the net injection is smaller. Spending of 16 that crowds out 6 of investment adds a net 10; with a multiplier of 2, GDP rises by 20, not 32. (HL only)
Automatic stabilisers
Progressive taxes and unemployment benefits soften swings in the cycle with no new decision: in a downturn tax revenue falls and benefit spending rises. They avoid policy lags but only soften a deep slump. (HL only)

3.7 Supply-side policies

Supply-side policies: aim and diagram
Policies that raise productive capacity and market efficiency. Axes: price level and real GDP. A successful policy shifts LRAS to the right, raising potential output with downward pressure on the price level.
Market-based supply-side policies
Competition: deregulation, privatisation, trade liberalisation, anti-monopoly regulation. Labour market: reducing union power, reducing unemployment benefits, abolishing minimum wages. Incentives: cuts in personal income tax, business tax and capital gains tax.
Interventionist supply-side policies
Government provides or funds: education and training, health care, research and development, infrastructure, and industrial policies supporting chosen sectors.
Evaluate market-based versus interventionist supply-side policies
Market-based: better resource allocation and no burden on the budget, but equity issues, time lags, vested interests and environmental impact. Interventionist: direct support for sectors important to growth, but costly and slow.
Demand-side effects of supply-side policies
An income tax cut raises consumption; a business tax cut raises investment; spending on infrastructure, education and health raises G at once and capacity later. AD may shift right too, so the fall in the price level is smaller.
Which unemployment can supply-side policy reduce?
Structural (and frictional) unemployment, through training, flexible labour markets and better job matching. It has little effect on cyclical (demand-deficient) unemployment.